NFL Picks Week 4 Review

I don't know what to believe anymore. Week 3 was an unmitigated disaster, with several upsets (but not the upset I predicted, naturally (that's what I get for believing in San Diego for two weeks in a row)). The Chiefs have won more games in a row (3) than they did all last year (2). The Bengals took out the Packers. Cleveland won. The Giants got destroyed. Miami keeps on winning. The Niners haven't won since I declared them the favorite in the NFC. The six games I did get right were blowouts (including my Steelers collapsing against the Bears). I did get my survival pick right again (Seattle in a laugher against Jacksonville). But my record now stands at 26-22 (with one of those losses being my too-late pick of Denver against Baltimore on opening night, so call it 26-21-1).

This week's match ups:

San Francisco @ St. Louis - San Francisco (I can't believe that the Niners are a flash in the pan. They are legitimate contenders, and legit contenders don't start 1-3.) (Finally, I called the Niners correctly! Good start to my rebound week!) CORRECT

Baltimore @ Buffalo - Baltimore (Besides week one, they have been a solid team defensively. Buffalo has struggled to find a consistent offense.) INCORRECT

Cincinnati @ Cleveland - Cincinnati (The victory over Green Bay is a huge statement. As far as Cleveland goes, their victory was against Minnesota, who can't get anything going.) INCORRECT

Chicago @ Detroit - Chicago (Detroit will get Reggie Bush back, but they lose Nate Burleson in the meantime. They need every weapon they can get against Chicago's D.) INCORRECT

New York Giants @ Kansas City - † New York Giants (I don't care how many they win in a row, I will continue to pick against the Chiefs. No, not really, but this week I think the Giants have something to prove, and they will.) INCORRECT

Pittsburgh @ Minnesota - Pittsburgh (Big Ben plays in London? C'mon, that's a given. Pittsburgh finally puts one in the W column.) INCORRECT, DAMMIT.

Arizona @ Tampa Bay - Tampa Bay (Tampa Bay has been having a rough season, and now Josh Freeman is riding the pine. But Arizona has had a run of injuries and are just plain beat up.) INCORRECT.

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville - # Indianapolis (I don't think Jacksonville will go 0-16 this season, but this isn't where they'll get the win.) CORRECT

Seattle @ Houston - Seattle (The Texans have some holes, but the real story here is the Seahawks defense. Vacuum sealed. It'll be a tough match up at Reliant Field, but the Blue and Silver (and Green, and I think some shade of Ultramarine) will get it done.) CORRECT

New York Jets @ Tennessee - Tennessee (The Jets got called for 20 penalties against Buffalo. They can't do that against Tennessee or it's going to be a rout.) CORRECT

Philadelphia @ Denver - § Denver (The Broncos are 10.5 pt. favorites. I don't think it will be that big a margin, but the Eagles will struggle to fly in the thin air.) CORRECT

Washington @ Oakland - Washington (RGIII will eventually be the same quarterback that electrified crowds last season. The soft Oakland defense is the cure for what ails him.) CORRECT

Dallas @ San Diego - Dallas (After shocking the world by beating the Eagles, they lost a lead to the Titans late (as they have lost their lead in EVERY game this season) and they will face a bigger battle against the Dallas defense than they have all year.) INCORRECT

New England @ Atlanta - Atlanta (New England is the WORST 3-0 team ever. This is the first legitimate test they'll face, and the Falcons have urgency on their side, they need to win to stay in the hunt with New Orleans in the NFC South.) INCORRECT

Miami @ New Orleans - New Orleans (I am convinced that Miami is not just a fluke now, with their victory over Atlanta last week. But the Saints are a steamroller.) CORRECT

 # Smart Centipede's Iron Lock of the Week! (Locked!)
§ Smart Centipede's Survival Pick of the Week! (Survived!)
† Smart Centipede's Upset Pick of the Week! (Upset.)